Forecasting Emergency Department Crowding: A Prospective, Real-time Evaluation

Forecasting models of emergency department crowding.

OBJECTIVES The authors investigated whether models using time series methods can generate accurate short-term forecasts of emergency department (ED) bed occupancy, using traditional historical averages models as comparison. METHODS From July 2005 through June 2006, retrospective hourly ED bed occupancy values were collected from three tertiary care hospitals. Three models of ED bed occupancy ...

CLINICAL PRACTICE Forecasting Models of Emergency Department Crowding

Objectives: The authors investigated whether models using time series methods can generate accurate short-term forecasts of emergency department (ED) bed occupancy, using traditional historical averages models as comparison. Methods: From July 2005 through June 2006, retrospective hourly ED bed occupancy values were collected from three tertiary care hospitals. Three models of ED bed occupancy ...

Emergency department over-crowding: a global perspective

Emergency department (ED) over-crowding has been a topic of intense interest over the past few years, with the Institute of Medicine report “Emergency Care at a Crossroads” published in 2006 [1], followed by the American College of Emergency Physicians task force report on boarding (2008) and, most recently, the United States Government Accountability Office (GAO) Report to the Chairman [2], Co...

Emergency Department Crowding: Time for Interventions and Policy Evaluations

This paper summarises the consequences of emergency department crowding. It provides a comparison of the scales used to measure emergency department crowding. We discuss the multiple causes of crowding and present an up-to-date literature review of the interventions that reduce the adverse consequences of crowding. We consider interventions at the level of an individual hospital and a policy le...

universal factors affecting emergency department crowding